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Tag Archives: gallup


The Polls That Ate the Presidential Contest

Polls famously cannot measure the intangible called intensity.

by Mona Charen

November 06, 2012

“I don’t know,” a very wise and skeptical Washington political analyst confided to me on Sunday as I limned the Romney victory I foresee. “I’d like to believe it,” she said, “but I have to overlook a lot. If you’re right, then a whole lotta state polls have to be wrong.”

Very true. But I’ll climb all the way out onto a limb and assert that the state polls are wrong — or at least misleading. Continue reading


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